Evangelizing Mainframe
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What Will We See in 2015?

I know it’s like offering a hostage to fortune, but I thought it would be fun to make some predictions about the technology we will see in 2015. Hopefully, this blog will self-destruct before January 2016 when anyone can check back to see how right (or wrong) I am.

Let’s start with the easy predictions. Big Data will be turning up everywhere. OK, it will run on mainframe Linux partitions (and on other platforms in the distributed world), and there will be links to it from everywhere. There will be more mainframe applications that connect to it, feeding in data. And there will be more applications—many which run in browsers—drawing information from the data. Secondly, we’ll forget the cloud is out there, because pretty much everything will be stored in the cloud, and lots more apps will be running in the cloud. And, similarly, Bring Your Own Device will simply be what everyone expects, and anyone not allowing it will be considered out-of-touch.

I predict that the integration of phones, tablets, laptops, TV and various forms of connectivity will continue at such a rate that we’ll forget they were ever separate entities. 4G will be the de facto standard for phone connectivity, and that will force everyone (who plans to stay in business) to ensure that they have a responsive website (i.e., one that looks good from a phone, tablet and laptop).

I’ve been playing with Google’s Chromecast for a while and use the feature of casting (mirroring) my desktop to a large TV screen for people to look at. And I predict that there will be more products like that, or the facility will be integrated in new TV screens. I’d love to predict incredibly small phones with large fold-out flexible screens, but I don’t think we’ll see that this year.

Thinking of connectivity, I think broadband speeds will rise again. And I think we will find it strange to go into a building that doesn’t provide free Wi-Fi. Shops, restaurants, bars and the like will need to make their Wi-Fi available for free or lose customers to places that do. There is a security issue here, of course.

I predict the increase in wearable tech, like watches that are integrated with health apps such as heart rate monitors, pedometers and more. You’ll be buying them for the good of your health—but we all know it’s just because you like gadgets!

With the growth in government-sponsored hacking, I predict a new level of security becoming available for all intelligent devices, to ensure that their cameras can’t be turned on by remote hackers and their data can’t be accessed.

I predict the growth in access to mainframes from phones and tablets means that more MIPS will be used running all these additional apps. And I predict that any mainframe application that doesn’t work from a browser or simple app will begin to disappear into history. And most companies will want to ensure that their products or services are available through a browser or app store because that’s how people will be doing their shopping, checking their bank account, booking their holiday, etc.

I predict an increase in the use of drones. We may even find that people build their own and use the camera installed in them to keep an eye on their children playing in the garden, see who is coming up the path to the front door or a host of other uses.

I predict the continued growth of the Internet of Things. I don’t predict it will become self-aware. But I do suggest there will be a growth in Software-Defined anything. Almost every hardware device will have some software associated with it that will be used to affect/improve how it functions. This is particularly significant for things like networks. And the growth in the Internet of Things will increase the amount of information available to be stored and used by Big Data.

I predict a resurgence at Microsoft. The Office 365 product comes with a price tag, but seems to offer a product that matches the needs of many sites that use Microsoft products. I’m not so sure about Apple. I predict that Google and Amazon will continue to grow in the technology space. And social media will become even more an important part of the marketing of organizations.

Worryingly, I predict the gap between the technology-savvy and those who aren’t will grow, much like the disparity between the wealthy and the poor will also increase.

I predict it will be an interesting year—I hope it’s a happy and successful one for you.

Please share your technology predictions for the coming year in the comments.

Trevor Eddolls is CEO at iTech-Ed Ltd, an IT consultancy. A popular speaker and blogger, he currently chairs the Virtual IMS and Virtual CICS user groups. He’s editorial director for the Arcati Mainframe Yearbook, and for many years edited Xephon’s Update publications.

Posted: 1/20/2015 5:00:21 AM by Trevor Eddolls

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